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Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Proposed Traffic Light System in the Anti-Dumping Regime

Canada-US Softwood Lumber Dispute


Professor Raj Bhala contemplates that following troublesome issues exist from the point of view of the exporters with the present Antidumping Agreement[1]:

1. The terms and phrases in the agreement need to be clearly defined in order to reduce opportunistic and protectionist abuse by the importing countries while imposing antidumping duty.

2. The present antidumping agreement tends to focus more on the mere act of price discrimination. Instead, cross-border price discrimination[2] needs to be taken into consideration so as to understand the underlying micro-economic rationale in differentiation of price.

3. The price classification must exist on the basis of the Cost Structure adopted by the exporter. By doing this, the range of actionable dumping situations will surely get narrowed[3].

In order to address the abovementioned problems, he has suggested a Traffic Light System similar to that which exists in the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures.

Red-Light Dumping

Under such dumping, the moot question to be determined is:

Whether or not an exporter is engaged in predatory dumping if it sells its product in the importing country below its shut-down point i.e. at a price below its minimum average variable cost?

It is quite evident that in such a situation, the exporter seeks to drive its competitors out of business in the importing country, establishing a monopoly position. Under the Traffic Light System, no final antidumping duty is imposed and no estimated deposit is required until the Investigating Authority is convinced that the red-light dumping is the substantial cause of material injury.

Yellow-Light Dumping

An exporter is said to commit yellow-light dumping if it sells its product in the importing country at a price somewhere in between its break-even and shut-down points i.e. at a price below its minimum average total cost but above its average variable cost.

In such a situation, the Investigating Authority should issue a cautionary statement to the exporter informing him that its pricing strategy for the subject merchandise is nearing the point of red-light dumping which, in turn, will trigger certain presumptions against the exporter and will ultimately lead to imposition of the duty. However, no duty is to be imposed in case the dumping continues to be yellow-light and does not turn red.

Green-Light Dumping

Green-Light Dumping takes place when an exporter sells in the importing country at or above its break-even point i.e. at a price equal to or above its minimum average total cost. According to the professor, such a situation does not warrant imposition of any kind of anti-dumping duty. The exporter can not only cover its total costs, but may also earn a profit.

Purpose of the Traffic Light System

According to Raj Bhala[4]:

“The central purpose of the traffic-light system is to limit the risk of protectionist abuse. By restricting the scope of actionable dumping behaviour, the traffic-light system makes antidumping law a less attractive, more difficult remedy to obtain. By classifying dumping behaviour and attaching definite legal consequences to each category, the law is simpler and less ambiguous than under the Agreement or the Act.”

International Trade Law Notes


[1] Raj Bhala, Rethinking Antidumping Law, 29 Geo. Wash. J. Int'l L. & Econ. 1 (1996).
[2] See A Report of the C.D. Howe Institute Competition Policy Council, Cross-Border Price Regulation: Anti-Competition Policy?, visited at http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/Verdict_CPC_May_2014.pdf
[3] To understand the types of Price Discrimination and Price Classification, See, F Machlup, Characteristics and Types of Price Discrimination, p.397-440, (Volume ISBN: 0-87014-196-1) visited at www.nber.org/chapters/c0971.pdf
[4] Ibid.

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